After spending the last two weeks watching all 8 Best Picture nominees for The 87th Annual Academy Awards, I am now fully qualified to give you the lowdown, determine which ones are the best, and more importantly which one will win the big prize.

The crop this year includes the usual Oscars suspects: we have some historical/war films and biopics (Selma, Imitation Game, American Sniper); the movie about the person overcoming adversity (Theory of Everything); the quirky comedy (Grand Budapest Hotel); an original film by an international director (Birdman); a film by a long-admired Hollywood director (Boyhood), and the little indie that could (Whiplash).

There’s a secret to picking these things. You see historically, Best Picture films don’t win without their directors nominated for Best Director. Simple math dictates that that leaves only 4 movies that can win Best Picture. But before I tell you who will win, let’s focus on the much more important question: Which movie should win? Let’s count them down from 8 – 1.

The 72nd annual Golden Globe Awards ceremony in Beverly Hills, CA, tonight has come to a close, so it’s time to take a look at the winners of the evening.

Boyhood took home top honors, including Best Director (Richard Linklater), Best Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), and Best Picture Drama, snagging the most amount of awards for the night. Birdman and The Theory of Everything both took home two each, including a Best Actor Globe for Birdman star Michael Keaton, who gave a moving acceptance speech. Wes Anderson’s The Grand Budapest Hotel won Best Picture Comedy or Musical.

In television, Showtime’s The Affair, FX’s Fargo, and Amazon’s Transparent won two Globes each.

Check out the full list of 2015 Golden Globe winners here below.